Betting the Diagonal

Creator: Chris Graythen | Credit: Getty Images

Hey Morgan, Morgan? You awake? Or are you still in a coma after getting killed by the book last weekend? Going 2-4 last week, but finally winning your Lock of the week must have felt good though! Since you went MIA and we need to give our loyal fans the picks they deserve, and probably need if they have been tailing you. I will step in and give them the winning picks to fix your bank roll like the true Degenerate I am. If I knew I would be writing this article this week I would’ve given you my Thursday Night Over with the Titans v Colts but that’s neither here nor there. I don’t bet with just my gut, but with my head and the gambling numbers. I try to fade the public as much as possible, aka fading people like Morgan (just kidding buddy, not really). I will do my best to show up my friend Morgan and make you all some money!

New England Patriots +7 vs Baltimore Ravens

If you can still get the hook (the .5) this may turn into my bet of the week. People say there are two things you can’t get away from, death and paying your taxes. When it comes to gambling there are two rules, always bet the over, and never bet against Bill Belicheck in Gillette. In the last 20 years, the Patriots are 11-2 ATS as home underdogs. In those 11 games where they covered the spread, the Pats won outright 9 times, NINE. No team is as good as their best game, and no team is as bad as their worst game. Don’t be a fool and bet against Bill. Take the points, if you are feeling dangerous like me, sprinkle some on the ML.

Cleveland Browns vs Houston Texans UNDER 45.5 Points

Once again we see Mother Nature play its part in the Midwest as the forecast calls for 30+ MPH winds and rain on Sunday in Cleveland. In week 8, we had lower speed winds, and better offense rolling into town, and the total at the end of the game was 22. If there will be scoring, it will be on the ground, and 100% not with field goals that look like boomerangs. I know what you are all thinking, Bill you just said always take the over?! Not everything that’s gold can stay my friends. This total opened at 55 and is now all the way down at 45.5, line movement like that is something that makes me feel juicy inside.

Seattle Seahawks +2 vs Los Angeles Rams

This line is free money, take the ML. Russell Wilson is the ultimate underdog and he is showing it out on the field this year. Russ has never gotten a vote for MVP, blah blah blah, keep doubting him and he will burn you time after time. In his career as an underdog, he is 23-9. In the last 20 meetings between these teams, the underdog is 14-6 ATS. We will see what DK Metcalf is made of this week as he will be shadowed by Jalen Ramsay, but good news for you, they also have Tyler Lockett to go for 10 catches for 100 yards and 2 Touchdowns. The Rams rely on their run game to open up their play action pass that works wonders on teams, but even with how bad the Seahawks secondary is, ranking last in the NFL in yards allowed, their run defense is 4th best allowing 93.6 yards per game. Love the Seahawks and the barking dogs.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers -6 vs Carolina Panthers

Is there anything more surefire than betting on TB12 coming off of a loss? Doubtful. Good ol Tommy Boy is 44-21 ATS coming off a loss, yes that pretty much all with New England. CMC will be out once again in Week 10, and that is a big loss for the Panthers who have been relying on him to come back healthy. Without their stud, I don't see a way that the Panthers come anywhere close to the Tampa Bay TB12’s. I think the Bucs figure out their offensive problems (not sure how they have problems with all the weapons) this week, and get back on track to looking like a Super Bowl contender once again.

Parlay of the Week: +740

Browns/Texans Under 45.5

Eagles -3.5

Seahawks ML

Teaser of the Week: +150

Seahawks +8

Bears +9

Buccaneers 0