Week 3 was a massive success if you pick and choose my lineups. Almost everyone went off for me last week, it is just a damn shame I didn’t add Derrick Henry to my choices for the readers. I felt as if it was too much chalk for even the most basic DFS players out there. We had all of the top scorers, and I KNEW COREY DAVIS’ BUM ASS WOULD LET US DOWN. Hopefully you guys won some extra money in your pockets, as I regretfully decided to put Cam Newton in too many lineups at 4am Saturday morning and didn’t do as well as I should have.
Week 4 is filled with juicy match ups that really get the blood pumping. High flying offenses against garbage secondary's as far as the eye can see. I feel like this is the year of the Overs Club, as every game seems to go over the Vegas totals, and not much defense is being played. For instance, the Broncos and the Jets put up a combined 65 points on Thursday Night Football. Even bad offenses are scoring. One trend I have seen now that values are evening out, FanDuel wants people to pay up at QB this year. You can't get the same value you used to at QB so more often than not we will be rolling with a stud QB unless we see some great value. This week we are paying up at running back, and really getting after two games, with a little sprinkle of others on the side.
Alvin Kamara- $8800
Alvin Kamara is the stud of the week in Week 4. The Lions did us dirty with stopping Kenyon Drake last week, but Kamara is a different animal. He is averaging 31.1 FanDuel points per game this year. Detroit has missed 29 tackles on the year, and we all saw Kamara go beast mode against the Packers on MNF. Detroit is also ranked dead last in open field yardage, which is where Kamara shines. If you get Kamara in space, good luck trying to stop him. The last stat I want to add is that the Lions have given up an embarrassing 172.3 rushing yards per game in the 2020 season. One downside I would like to mention is if this game gets out of hand quickly, we could see some garbage time usage of Latavius Murray ($4900). I like Murray for a GPP play this week. Photo: Washington Times
Dalvin Cook- $8700
Second stud of the week honors go to Dalvin Cook this week. Houston has been getting killed on the ground this year, allowing a league worst 188.3 yards per game. Even James Conner ran for 109 yards and a TD against this offense (told you that was a great play last week). With a limited practice week due to the Titans not knowing how to wear masks, the Vikings could be a rush heavy offense this week as they try to keep it simple. Cook is coming off of a massive 188 yard game, adding a TD to the stat line, expect the heater to continue this week vs the Texans. Photo: USA Today
Kenyon Drake- $7000
As we said on the podcast this week, this will be the last chance that Drake gets or else we never speak his name again. In Week 4, he goes against the Panthers who have been all sorts of bad against running backs. In the last 19 games, Carolina has given up 2500 rushing yards and 32 touchdowns to opposing backfields.
Darrell Henderson- $6400
Henderson had a breakout game last week against the Buffalo Bills last week with 118 yards and a TD. I like him the best out of anyone in this value area going against the Giants, who probably couldn’t stop the Jets on Defense. He will be shoved into many of my lineups where I will be paying up for more studs.
James Robinson- $6600
Guy has been on absolute fuego the past few weeks. This week he faces off against the Bengals, who have major injuries on the defense. The Jaguars are not a top tier team but they will have a great shot at leading most of the game. They will look to put the ball into Robinson's hands often in Week 4.
Lockett/Metcalf- $7500/$6900
Let Russ Cook! Tyler Lockett and DK Metcalf have been going bananas in only the way Gwen Stefani could spell out for you. Lockett is coming off of a massive game, recording 9 catches for 100 yards and 3 TDs. DK fumbled a massive touchdown catch where he got lazy and held the ball out that killed most of my lineups last week, a real boneheaded move that won’t be repeated. Even with that fumble at the goal line, he still managed 4 catches for 110 yards and a score. The Dolphins defense is still absolutely abysmal, and with a questionable tag for both Chris Carson and Carlos Hyde, they could just Let Russ Cook all game long. Both are great plays once again this week, and until further notice. Photo: Seahawks.com
Devante Parker/Preston Williams- $6500/$5500
We will be running it back in this game with Devante Parker who is my WR play of the week, and Preston Williams as my value play of the week. The Seahawks are by far the worst secondary in football this year and it hasn’t really been all that close. Seattle has given up 80 more passing yards per game than any other team in the NFL in 2020, that is almost impossible to do. Wide outs who line up to the left (Parker) have been able to do literally whatever they wanted and I expect that to continue this week. Photo: USA Today
Brandin Cooks- $5300
The Vikings just can’t seem to get it together on defense, and with Brandin Cooks returning to the Texans, I love his value this week. This game will be high scoring, as neither defense can stop anything it seems. On value alone, it is worth the shot if you are paying up for two studs at RB this week.
Stefon Diggs- $7000
The Josh Allen era has begun, and he has been putting on a show. Week in and week out we always seem to be attacking the Raiders secondary for the last few years, and this year is no different. With John Brown most likely out this week, Diggs will be running deeper routes, and could be in for a massive game as Josh Allen rolls another secondary in Week 4.
OBJ- $6600
If there was any game that Odell would go off, it would be against the Cowboys in Week 4. The Browns will not be able to run the ball 30+ times like they want to, and will force Baker to make plays. At this price, I am fine with risking it for a few biscuits from Red Lobster (not a sponsor).
Hunter Renfrow- $5300
This one pains me to write, as my Co-Host will be blowing up my phone laughing, saying I told you so. I will have to deal with his shenanigans, because 3rd and Renfrow is one of my favorite plays this week. The Raiders will be without both of their rookie WRs, and I believe that White will be playing against Waller for the majority of passing downs. Besides Waller and Renfrow, who else will the Raiders throw the ball to? Zay Jones?! Get out of here with that. The only thing weaker than the WR core right now in Vegas is Renfrow's hairline. Love the matchup, love the value, I have no choice but to tell Sean he is right for once in his life. Photo: USA Today
Mike Gesicki- $5700
Seattle has been actually pretty good against the tight end, but there's a catch with this pick. Gesicki usually lines up in the slot, and not up on the line like a typical TE. Therefore, he can be played knowing he will eat against this Seattle secondary.
Photo: Miami Herald
TJ Hockenson- $5400
Playing the numbers on this one as a fade from the chalk TE in Gesicki. The Saints have let up a league worst 17.1 fantasy points to tight ends this year. Could have a tough time getting the targets needed to reach that 2.5x value we are looking for, but how often are we really relying on the TE to carry the team for us? Never would be the correct answer.
Russell Wilson- $9800
He is a GOAT. The price makes no difference, he’s going to be good for at least 4 TDs in this one as Pete Carrol screams LET RUSS COOK from atop Mount Rainier.
Ryan Fitzpatrick- $7100
Beard season. Stacking Fitz, Preston Williams, Parker, and Gesicki in a lineup for sure. FitzMagic has been the 4th best fantasy QB since Week 10 of last year and he faces the worst secondary we have seen since the Dolphins last year. LET FITZ FLY! Photo: USA Today
Josh Allen- $8600
If I had a say in the MVP voting, you all know Josh Allen would be my guy. He goes up against the Raiders, who just lost their stud rookie cornerback for the next 6 weeks at least. He has had at least 300 yards in every game this year, after never having thrown for that much in his career even once. Add his rushing upside and you have yourself a stud in your lineup.
Lineup 1- Dolphins/Seattle Stack
Ryan Fitzpatrick- $7100
Alvin Kamara- $8800
James Robinson- $6600
Devante Parker- $6500
Tyler Lockett- $7500
Odell Beckham Jr- $6600
Mike Gesicki- $5700
DK Metcalf- $6900
Jaguars D- $3700
Lineup 2- Paying up at RB
Josh Allen- $8600
Alvin Kamara- $8800
Dalvin Cook- $8700
Devante Parker- $6500
Stefon Diggs- $7000
Hunter Renfrow- $5300
TJ Hockenson- $5400
Darrell Henderson- $6400
Lions D- $3200
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