Welcome back to another fantastic week of NFL football action and another week of adding an extra zero to your bank account. Some housekeeping before we get this show on the road, your favorite Degenerate gamblers Billy and myself have officially launched our very own gambling podcast “Betting the Diagonal” brought to you by Fantasy Football Degenerates. Each week, the two of us will shoot the shit about that week's NFL games as well as dabble in arguably both of our favorite sports to bet...College Basketball (Let’s go DUKE baby!!!). We will also be bringing you some great competition each week to see who is the better gambler at the end of the day. Billy, I love ya man and respect your sports knowledge as a gambler and a Degenerate but at the end of the day, you can not hold my jock when it comes to gambling. This is what I do...our readers know that, our soon to be loyal listeners of “Betting the Diagonal” (can be found on Youtube currently) know it as well. I bring the sizzle each week as if I were Terrell Suggs coming off the corner and you were Andy Dalton there waiting to get laid out. So unless you are comfortable relying on Jared to cover your blindside, stay down Billy cause I’m out for blood this week.
Whoop!!! Week 11 is here baby and I cannot wait!!! Who needs defense to win championships when you have the elite teams putting up oodles of points each week. Out in the desert the Cardinals are an offensive juggernaut going for their 6th straight game with 30 plus points scored and go up against a Seahawk team that wouldn’t be able to keep Penn State out of the endzone (sidebar...I am THRILLED that Penn State is 0-4. Couldn’t happen to any better of a morally corrupt institution). Phew...now that I got that out of my system back to the NFL. How ‘bout those Ravens??? Hahaha, who would have thought they would be as big of a fraud as they actually are. Well, this guy for one has been shouting frauds from the top of the mountain all year and finally everyone is realizing it. The Steelers continue to show why they are the class of the NFL after rolling over the Bengals in a game that many thought the cats could win. Then there’s the NFC East and boy did we have a showdown in the Meadowlands. The Eagles continue to be the most painful team to watch and had myself and the entire Philadelphia region wishing we were still on a bye week so we did not have to watch that slop each week. You may not see a winner in the Eagles any given Sunday but ride the Six Pack and take a look at “Betting the Diagonal” and you are guaranteed winners.
(All picks are brought to you from DraftKings Sportsbook)
Kansas City Chiefs -8 (-110) against the Las Vegas Raiders: November 22, 2020 @ 8:20 PM EST
Rewind for a second to Week 5 when a 4-0 Chiefs team that was humming along welcomed a Raider team into Arrowhead for an early season divisional tilt. Three and a half hours after kick off, the unlikeliest of outcomes occurred when the Raiders put up a 40 burger in hostile territory against the reigning Super Bowl champions. At the conclusion of the game, the Raider players were seen taking a victory lap around Arrowhead to the chagrin of the Chief faithful. That was not forgotten by Patty Mahomes and the rest of the Chefs. You can put the house on the fact that Andy Reid will have something cooked up coming out of the bye, where he is 18-3 in his career the next week. This game will be the game where the Chiefs reestablish themselves as the class of the NFL after weeks of everyone talking about the Steelers. After being embarrassed at home, you can be certain that they are going to be pulling out all the stops to put up a 40 burger of their own and do a victory lap of their own around the Black Hole.
Green Bay Packers +2.5 (-110) against the Indianapolis Colts and OVER 51 (-110):
So let me get this straight...you’re going to give Aaron Rodgers, Aaron Jones, and Davante Adams an additional 2.5 points against a team whose top rated defense is extremely overrated? Where do I sign up cause I am sprinting to wherever I need to be. The Colts, on paper, have a good defense this season but peel back the curtain and you will see that the Colts defense is actually overrated. Against teams that are actually somewhat solid on offense, they are giving up points but their overall season statistics are buoyed by the fact that they got to play against the likes of the Jets, the Bears, and the Lions...not exactly juggernauts on offense. Green Bay is the best offense they will have gone up against this season and we saw teams like the Browns and Bengals put up 32 and 27 points respectively. Green Bay is 6-3 ATS this season, covering the spread by a margin of 5.9 points per game so take the points and enjoy the free money that the book makers are offering you this week.
Miami Dolphins -3.5 (-110) against the Denver Broncos:
Tua time enters week 4 with the young lefty under center and South Beach is vibin’ right now and gearing up to party like it's 1972. The transient fanbase down in Miami is lovin’ what they are seeing from arguably the most successful Bill Belichick protege thus far in Brian Flores and his team has taken major strides this season to a team that is only a piece or two away from competing for the coveted AFC East title. In their last three games with Tua under center, the ‘Phins are putting up 30.3 points per game as the moxy that Tua shows has had a positive effect on the entire offense. Denver, who once showed great promise under Drew Lock now looks like a team headed for a massive overhaul and John Elway will be using the next couple weeks to really evaluate the talent that he has remaining from a team not far removed from a Super Bowl victory. This season, the Dolphins are the best team ATS with a record of 7-2 this season and are looking to add another win to that column this week, a win that should come to the Dolphins as easy as it is to get college kids to come to Miami during spring break.
Titans +6.5 (-110) against the Baltimore Ravens:
The Titans have not been the team I thought they were early in the season as of late but I will continue to ride them all the way to the Gates of Thermopylae. When I think of the matchups between these two teams, I just keep coming back to the beatdown that the Titans put on the flock last season in the playoffs (for those keeping score, this is when the Ravens proved to us all that they were frauds). Last year the Raven’s had a great defense and this year they are giving up the fewest points per game in the NFL at 18.3 but find themselves just outside the top 10 in rushing yards allowed per game at 109.7 yards per game. They did similar last year but once King Derrick Henry showed up, that top ranked defense decided to run away and hide. The Titans who thrive in the ground and pound game are averaging 148,7 yards per game but in their last three that number has risen to 155.7 yards per game. This is going to be a low scoring contest but Baltimore is only 4-5 against the spread this season so I like the Titans with the points to pick up a big win for you gambling fiends this week.
And the highly anticipated, most electrifying Lock of the Week...
Cincinnati Bengals +1.5 (-110) against the Washington Football Team:
I have been leading the Justin Herbert for Rookie of the Year really hard this season but once you cut your hair to look like Justin Bieber, if I said I voted for you I too would be accused of voter fraud. Joe cool has looked every bit the future superstar quarterback that he was expected to be coming out of LSU and keeps the Bengals in every single game. The Washington defense is surprisingly the best team against the pass this season so Joe won't have the easiest day in store for him but his team still has more overall talent than the team with no name. Cincinnati is surprisingly one of the best teams in the NFL ATS this season, going 6-3 while Washington is teetering on mediocrity going only 4-5 ATS this season. Look for the Bengals to attack the 21st ranked rush defense with their very own Pro Bowl running back Joe Mixon, who will help set up the pass all day for Burrow who can use this game to catapult himself to the lead in the Rookie of the Year conversation.
Photo: AP Images
Parlay of the Week (+597)
-Green Bay Packers +2.5 against the Indianapolis Colts
-Cincinnati Bengals +1.5 against the Washington Football Team
-Kansas City Chiefs -8 against the Las Vegas Raiders
YTD: 18-23 (3-3 last week)
YTD Lock of the Week: 3-4
YTD Parlay of the Week: 3-4
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