Who am I and why am I giving you picks each week? Well for starters, I am Morgan and you are reading my picks because you are a gambling fiend like myself and you can’t help yourself. Why do I gamble? Aside from the dream where you hit that massive parlay like Howard Ratner in Uncut Gems, I love sports and there's no better way to turn a Thursday night Jets/Broncos game into something worthwhile than to have a little cheddar on it. So each week, I will be giving you a few picks that I’m tailing, sprinkle in a parlay and some player props here and there hopefully you and I both will find ourselves up a few units each week.
Week 3 brought us some great action in the NFL. The Ravens AREN'T who we thought they were (thanks Denny Green) and were exposed as frauds. The Saints fail to cover the spread in their own dome. That vaunted Tom Brady offense can’t hit the over after being 10 points away at the half. And how about that Chiefs/Ravens game that came in 1.5 points to the under (I got it at 53.5 like the intelligent Degenerate I am). Week 4 promises to break some more hearts but if you want to win some units instead, peak the locks of the week below.
Cowboys -4.5
Look, I hate the Cowboys more than my ex-girlfriend hates me but you have to think at home, coming off a loss the Cowgirls are going to be mad. Cleveland isn’t completely incompetent but stink on the road and don’t have the bodies to matchup on defense. Zeke’s going to be rockin' the crop top while his GIF screams feed me all the way to a Cowboy cover.
ATL/GB over 56.5 and GB -7.5
Two juggernaut offenses face off on a cool autumn night in Green Bay. The Falcons defense wouldn’t stop ol’ Matt Saracen from carving them up for 350 yards thru the air. These Packers look legit this year and balanced and with A Rod a career 54-30-3 ATS, I like his chances to cover after another Dan Quinn late game collapse. Look for both Ryan and Rodgers to pass for over 250 yards and 3 tudders a pop, Gurley looking like a Girly out there and Aaron Jones looking to cement his status as a RB1.
Eagles +7
Yes, my Eagles stink and my number one rule is never bet your favorite team or they’ll break your heart twice. Trump was right the other night saying Philly is a bad place. Another Eagles loss and we will have straight on mutiny in the streets, the likes a super bowl parade couldn’t top. Even though the 49ers rolled last week...it was against the Giants. It may as well have been the Little Giants out there. The 49ers are beat up, like a nerdy kid getting a swirly in middle school. Injuries everywhere the eye can see. Carson Wentz has to turn his hat forward, and get it together sometime. Road underdogs are 9-3-1 ATS against Kyle Shanahan coached teams so I like the Eagles to win with the +7...but definitely not outright.
Copyright: FS1
Lock of the Week: Bills -2.5
The Josh Allen MVP tour is in full force and the raiders can’t stop him. Buffalo looks legit and you just can’t trust a Gruden coached team to play consistently well. Seriously, is there a more overrated coach all time then Jon Gruden. Anyway, under McDermott the Bills are 17-12-2 ATS outside their Division, while non divisional opponents are 14-9 against the raiders ATS. Even further, this Gruden led team has been 8-14 against the spread against playoff teams from the year before. The Bills Mafia will eat the entire buffet at Caesars Palace on Saturday (Covid free of course), then proceed to eat on the field.
Copyright: AP Images
Oh sheet looks like @BillyFFD has some competition