Last week was a good week if you are tailing our player props here at Fantasy Football Degenerates. We hit on a solid 3 out of 4 picks and are primed for another great week. The NFL season is quickly winding down and who knows how much time we have with COVID looming in the background so it’s now or never to pick some winners and make some cash. I know you want to go all in on these picks so you can have that extra cash for your trip to Aruba and out of the cold. So as my friend David Starsky likes to say, “Do It!” Happy gambling my fellow Degenerates, let’s feast!
Lamar Jackson OVER 45.5 rushing yards (-110) against the Indianapolis Colts.
Lamar carried the ball 16 times last week, tied for his highest total of the season and it’s clear that with him struggling as a passer, he will need to revert back to his running back ways. Indy has a great rush defense, giving up the second lowest rushing yards per game at 79.9 so why would we think that Lamar would get over this number. Well there is no quarterback quite like Action Jackson. The running game in Baltimore revolves around him and the mismatch he is on the field. The flock commit to the run more so than any other team to the tune of 178.7 yards per game on the ground and Lamar is a big chunk of those. Once you take away the three headed monster of Gus Edwards, Mark Ingram, and JK Dobbins you’ll see a ton of running room for Lamar, who is averaging 58.71 yards per game on the ground. I expect Lamar to do his best Usain Bolt imitation this Sunday and show off those wheels.
James Conner OVER 80.5 rushing yards (-110) against the Dallas Cowboys.
The Dallas Cowboys are a joke of a team right now. You would need to flip a coin to decide what is worse: their offense that can’t find the end zone or their defense that has been completely unable to stop anyone all season. Between their league worst rushing defense (giving up 170.9 yards per game) and their actually somewhat decent pass defense (214.0 yards per game) they are giving up a league worst 33.2 points per game. Enter the far superior Pittsburgh Steelers who I am extremely confident will win this game handily. Once the Steelers get the lead, they slow down the game significantly (to the tune of 31.24 seconds per play when ahead by a touchdown or more) by committing to the running game. Once the Steel Curtain had the lead, expect them to feature a heavy dose of James Conner to close out the game and a win. Photo: Getty Images
Russell Wilson UNDER 295.5 passing yards (-110) against the Buffalo Bills.
DangeRUSS Wilson has been cooking’ this season and is right at the top of the MVP race. Wilson has only been under this line three times all season so why are we projecting him to finish under that number? Well for starters , the Buffalo Bills are only giving up 223.6 passing yards per game which is good for 11th best in the league. Secondly, the trio of Jordan Poyer, Micah Hyde, and Tre’Davious White are as good as it gets in the back end of a defense. While the Seahawks have an explosive passing attack, the Bills have the personal to slow them down a bit. Russ will still put up his numbers but expect things to be a little bit more challenging with the Mafia out to get him.
Kyler Murray OVER 262.5 passing yards (-110) against the Miami Dolphins.
Currently, Kliff Kingsbury’s Cardinals are averaging a league best 419.9 yards per game on offense and boast some of the most impressive collection of weapons of any team. With the likes of Nuke, Christian Kirk, and the Hall of Famer Larry Fitz catching passes, it is extremely challenging to cover each player at any given time. Miami does not have a completely incompetent secondary, giving up 250.9 yards through the air per game which ranks 20th in the league but this looks like the case of to many bodies to cover. Coming off a 360 yard performance two weeks ago against the Seahawks, you can expect Kyler to use his legs to buy time and find the open receivers down field. Photo: Baltimore Sun
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