We got College Football action yo!!! Seriously, we need college football all year long way more than we need NFL football. How about those games last week?!?! Wild!!! Alabama falling to unranked Texas A&M. Arkansas and Ole Miss combined for 103 points and a wild finish that ended in a missed two point conversion. Oklahoma coming back from a 35-10 deficit at one point behind Freshman sensation Caleb Williams (get those Heisman tickets ready now for next season ladies and gentlemen). College Football is great. The people are great, the girls are great, and the atmosphere is always electric. And so we enter Week 7 of the season already and look to keep the party going with a few more wins.
Alabama Crimson Tide -17 vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs:
If you think Alabama is going to roll over and die after a loss, think again. After last week's embarrassing loss to Texas A&M, this will be a massive bounce back game for the tide who look to right the ship and get back into the playoff picture. Everyone knows the talent that the Alabama side has and what to expect from a Nick Saban coached team and I expect nothing less than a big showing from the Tide. The Bulldogs are ranked 70th in the FBS in scoring defense while Alabama has averaged 48.5 points per game, even with their 38 point showing in a loss to the Aggies. That’s all you need to know. Alabama is Alabama and Bryce Young is still making a run at the Heisman and a team like Mississippi State is the perfect get right spot for both. Head to head, Alabama has won 13 straight matchups and are 9-4 ATS in that same time period, including a 41-0 win last season as a 29 point favorite. Historically, Alabama is 83-18-3 against Mississippi State and has outscored the Bulldogs 103-7 in their previous three matchups combined.
Oklahoma Sooners -13.5 vs. TCU Horned Dogs:
The Red River Rivalry never disappoints as Oklahoma came roaring back for a thrilling come from behind win thanks to freshmen sensation, Superman (what the Sooner faithful are calling him) Caleb Williams. Williams is likely to get the start over struggling Spencer Rattler and will look to continue to move the ball more successfully than his predecessor. This TCU team doesn't have the same look as in past years, especially with their struggling defense. They have allowed over 30 points per game in four straight games against Cal, SMU, Texas and Texas Tech. TCU QB Max Duggan is listed as questionable for this game, and might want to sit this one out. The last time he played against the Sooners, he threw for just 65 yards with an INT on 7-of-21 passing in a loss at Oklahoma in 2019. The Sooners are 5-1 ATS in their last six versus TCU.
Michigan State Spartans -4.5 vs. Indiana Hoosiers and UNDER 48:
What a turnaround for this Michigan State program. A year after an absolutely miserable season, the Spartans are back in the top 10 conversation and have been playing their brand of physical football. Led by Heisman hopeful Kenneth Walker III who continues his charge and will look to pad his FBS leading 913 rushing yards while Indiana has allowed 4.1 yards per carry and 742 yards on the ground in five games. The Hoosiers enter this game with a losing record overall (2-3) and winless in conference games (0-2). Injuries have played a big part, as quarterback Michael Penix Jr. will be out once again with an injury. Indiana struggles significantly to score, but even more so against fellow Big 10 opponents and their last matchup against Penn State they were shut out. The thought of a look ahead game is what is driving this number so low as the battle for the state of Michigan looms large in a week when Michigan and Michigan State renew their rivalry. Michigan State is 8-2 straight up against Indiana in their last ten games while also leading the all-time series, 49-16-2.
Ole Miss Rebels -2.5 vs. Tennessee Volunteers and UNDER 84:
This under is more a pick of principle than anything. This is the highest total we have ever seen for SEC schools and while Ole Miss put up big points against Arkansas last week, Tennessee’s offense has been too inconsistent to expect them to do the same. While Tennessee has looked better offensively with Hendon Hooker under center, Ole Miss has strong Heisman contender Matt Corral leading the charge and features a significantly deeper roster than Tennessee which will be the difference in what will be a shoot out. So far, Ole Miss has generated 561.3 yards (No. 3 in the country) and 46.2 points a game (No. 4 in the country). There is a chance the Tennessee defense could slow down the Rebels, maybe even stop them on a drive or two. But Matt Corral is going to get the Ole Miss offense in the endzone. If you know me, you know I am a big Volunteer fan but I am also a realist and I know that my squad is not nearly as talented as the Rebels are and that all starts at Quarterback. The better Quarterbacked team often wins in football and that's where we are going once again with this one. For the total, the under is 19-7 in the past 26 for Ole Miss as a road favorite, while Tennessee has hit the Under in nine of the past 12 at home.
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