I’m not sure about you but my favorite day of the weekend is Saturday. Not because I can go out and turn up at the bar or because its the first day off after a grueling work week. No, I love Saturday because Saturday is for College Football, and I love College Football. The atmosphere, the electricity that is College Football is unmatched and really gets me going early Saturday morning till the wee hours of the night. Doesn’t matter if its some big time teams or my favorite MACtion or MWACtion games, the game of football is at its best on the college campus. What makes it even better is when you can wager a few bucks with your buddies on a game, or on your favorite sportsbook, something that I highly recommend doing...responsibly of course.
Wake Forest -7 vs. Louisville:
The upstart Demon Deacons enter this game off a fresh 24 ranking and are looking to build off their early season momentum to possibly an ACC title. Sam Hartman (Wake Forest QB) enters Saturday's contest as the No. 4-rated passer in the ACC. Hartman passes for 240.3 yards per game and has 10 total touchdowns compared to just one interception and leads an offense that is extremely balanced with 3 backs over 170 yards rushing and eight touchdowns while also their two top receivers have combined for 537 yards receiving in the early going. The Offensive line also has only allowed 5 sacks all season. The Cardinals rank 12th in the ACC in rushing defense and the worst in yards per rush allowed. Wake should have no issue running the ball which will play well into the play action passing game that they love to run. A trend to follow: Louisville is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against Wake Forest.
Oregon -8 vs. Stanford:
The mighty Ducks fly high into Palo Alto this week to take on a Stanford team that absolutely stinks at home, going 0-4 ATS in its last four home games. A balanced Oregon offense will be going up against a Stanford defense that is allowing 404.3 yards per game thus far and is looking to put up more big performances as they set their sights on the College Football Playoff down the road. Oregon already has an impressive win against Ohio State on its resume and needs to continue to put up big showings against inferior opponents to get more voters on their side. Among the many things in Oregon’s favor this week, Kayvon Thibodeaux is slated to play more than 10 snaps this week, strengthening an already deep Oregon roster and lead a defense that will look to stifle a Stanford offense that will likely be without its best offensive lineman, Branson Bragg. The Cardinal are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog while the Ducks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
Penn State -12.5 vs. Indiana:
Those who know me know that I am not a Penn State guy despite them being the go to team for many a folk from Pennsylvania like myself. What I am though is a fan of winning my football bets and that’s what I see here. Penn State is averaging 31.5 points per game thus far this season, while allowing 15 points per game while Indiana’s defense is allowing 29.3 points per game this season. Playing in front of the Nittany Lion faithful, Penn State is a different beast and this home crowd will be fired up to watch the number 4 team in the country make a charge to the College Football Playoff. Why do I love this play the most? Well, this is a revenge game after Penn State lost the opening week last year to Indiana on a controversial last second two point conversion play. That is more than enough motivation for the Lions to come out and put on a show this year. Penn State is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall wile also being 5-0 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Arizona State/UCLA O55.5:
Chip Kelly and Herm Edwards have dusted off the old NFL playbooks and brought their explosive style of offense back to the college ranks and they have some exciting playmakers at Quarterback getting the job done. Dorian Thompson-Robinson and Jaden Daneils lead two of the most exciting offenses in the Pac12, offenses that are putting up 38.5 and 32.5 points per game respectively. On the UCLA Bruins side, they are averaging 445.3 yards total offense, 234.2 passing yards, 193.8 rushing yards while Arizona State has managed to average 446.3 yards total offense with 213 passing yards and 223.3 rushing yards. That sounds like the makings of an explosive shootout between two awesome offenses. The over is 6-4 in the last 10 games head to head while the average total in UCLA games so far this season is 65.4.
Alabama -7.5 1H and U80 vs. Ole Miss:
Alabama is a juggernaut as always and looks to continue to roll through the SEC on their way to another championship. This week's opponent could pose a threat though as the Rebels are led by the current Heisman favorite Matt Corral who should be able to keep his team in this matchup for the majority of the game. While I lean Ole Miss with +14.5, I love ‘Bama in the early going of this game very similarly to their game with Florida a few weeks back. Alabama dominated the early going of the game before taking their foot off the pedal, allowing the Gators to cover the spread and nearly win the game outright. Alabama won last year's matchup, putting up 63 points but is facing the number one offense in college football this year. In that matchup, they still gave up 48 points. I am expecting a high scoring affair again for both of these teams with Alabama taking the lead into half by at least 10 points while allowing Ole Miss to hang around close enough to cover the spread. Alabama does a very good job running the ball, as does Ole Miss which should allow for the pace of this game to slow down. With this being the highest total on the board this week and after last season's high scoring game, I am looking for the under all the way on this one.
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