Now listen, we all know you’re here because you are a mixture of two things: a true, down to the core Degenerate like yours truly, or your true football passions lie in the college ranks rather than the pros. That’s right...Welcome to the Weekly Six Pack, Co-Ed edition. Now along with the top NFL picks yours truly has to offer, we’re throwing it back for all those 6th year seniors out there who are riding the “D’s get Degrees” wave. And if you're anything like me, the college game is SIGNIFICANTLY better than the pro game and the atmosphere is just out of this world. Whether we are “Jumpin’ Around” at Camp Randall or watching the Hokies walk into Lane Stadium to “Enter Sandman,” the college game knows how to put on a show each week. Plus, no better place to meet a girl than at a tailgate, amirite fellas. Best part about gambling on college games when you’re in college, the added pressure of needing those w’s so you have bar money come Thirsty Thursday. Last thing you want to be is the DD on a big house party weekend. Week 3 of the College Football season is set to be another epic one so without much further ado, let's pop the tops off these White Claws and watch some football!
Alabama 1H -7.5/-14.5 vs. Florida
To beat Alabama, you need to be able to put up at least 40 points per game...this year's version of the Gators is not that team. Florida cannot commit to a single quarterback and is splitting time with Emory Jones and Anthony Richardson, which will keep the offense from getting in sync against the strongest defense in college. On the other side of the ball, Bryce Young has answered the bell with 7 touchdowns and 1 interception in his first two games while also completing 71% of his passes in college's toughest conference. Alabama is 12-1 SU as a road favorite since 2018 and 8-4-1 ATS in those games. Alabama has won 7 straight meetings against Florida by an average of 21.6 points per game. Dan Mullen is 0-10 SU in his career with Mississippi State and Florida against Alabama. Roll Tide baby all the way to the bank.
Georgia Tech/Clemson O52
For Clemson to have a chance to get back into the CFP conversation, they need to put up big numbers and convincing wins, as well as run the table the rest of the season. Clemson won last season's matchup 73-7 and the total has hit the over in 6 of the last 9 games between Clemson and GTech. Clemson was able to get the running game going last week to the tune of 242 yards rushing and 5 scores which will be a perfect compliment to let a young QB settle in.Clemson is 6-4 O/U since 2020 against conference opponents. This offense for Clemson still has a ton of NFL talent on it and should be able to take advantage of a weaker Tech defense. I’m thinking a final score of something like 48-14 could be in the cards.
Penn State -5 vs. Auburn
It's that time of year again…the annual White Out game at Happy Valley between two ranked teams which means one thing, the atmosphere will be absolutely electric. Auburn Quarterback Bo Nix completes only 54.4% of his passes on the road in his career while throwing more interceptions (10) than touchdowns (9) and averages a paltry 5.6 yards per attempt on the road. In 10 games against ranked opponents, Nix completes 54.1% of his passes and with 8 touchdowns and 9 interceptions. The Penn State side led by Sean Clifford is not the most imposing in college, but can cause problems by controlling the pace of the game and being more physical at the line of scrimmage against Auburn. Penn State is 4-1 ATS since 2019 against non-conference opponents.
Nevada -2.5 vs. Kansas State
Carson Strong watch is in full effect as NFL scouts are closely watching a possible 1st round QB who is passing for 346.5 yards per game and has 6 touchdowns, both the second best marks in the MWAC while also completing 68.3% of his passes. Nevada’s defensive line is amongst the best in the country at getting pressure, leading the MWAC in sacks with 11 in the early going and trails only Marshall and LSU in the country. Kansas State will be without 6th year SR. QB Skylar Thompson and will start Sophomore Will Howard, who has completed only 53.6% of his passes and has thrown more interceptions (10) than touchdowns (8) in 9 games a year ago. Nevada can focus in on Deuce Vaughn, who is one of the best RB’s in the Big 12 but can be targeted as Kansas State has yet to throw a touchdown pass this season. Since 2019, Nevada is 6-2 ATS against non-conference teams.
San Diego State +9 vs. Utah
Historically, SDSU is one of the top rushing programs in College Football and this year looks to be no different. SDSU has rushed for 519 yards in two games whereas Utah is allowing 190.5 yards per game on the ground, which will allow SDSU to control the pace of the game and the time of possession. Though they are the dog in this game, SDSU 7-1 last 8 ATS as home underdog while Utah is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 non conference games and 1-8 ATS in its last 9 September games. A key factor working in SDSU’s favor is their defense that has returned 9 of 11 starters to a unit that was the 11th in the nation last year in points per game allowed and the 7th ranked rushing defense. We like the Aztecs to cover and possibly to even sprinkle a little bit here or there on the ML.
As always, be sure to follow Betting the Diagonal (@BettingDiagonal) on Twitter for both my (@MoWats26) and Billy’s (@BillyFFD) cards each day as we are sure to add more plays come Saturday. Make sure you take a moment to like and subscribe to the Podcast that can be found anywhere Podcasts are played these days and check us out on YouTube. And as always, be sure to gamble responsibly.
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