Thank goodness the NFL season is not a sprint but a marathon cause boy, we’ve had a rough go of it thus far. I am a man of honor and can admit when I am not performing to my standards...there’s a first time for every man to have performance issues and I guess this is my time. I have faith though. If you put in the work and are dedicated to your craft, you will find the results and I believe this is the week the results start coming. So let’s get some positive vibes up in this bitch. Your boy has been down bad. The man of the people has been down bad but not today, not anymore. My people know to trust the process and those who still stand tall with me, I will reward you… I hear Hank and Carrie singing in my ears so it must be time for some football. So if all my rowdy friends are ready, let’s talk shop and have a week to remember!
Buffalo Bills/Kansas City Chiefs Over 56.5 and Bills +2.5:
This is the game of the week...if not the season. The amount of fire power between these two teams has led to Kansas City averaging 33.5 points per game and Buffalo putting up 33.5. The duo of Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen have combined for 23 touchdown passes through four games a piece and lead the number two and six offense respectively in terms of yards gained per game in total offense. The Bills have allowed the fewest yards but have not faced an offense of the same caliber of the Chiefs. With the defenses being the chief difference in these two teams, the Bills currently have the stronger one which should allow them to slow the Chief offense more so that then the Chiefs would be able to slow the Bills. Kansas City’s defense has struggled mightily this season, ranking 31st in the league allowing 437.8 yards per game. The Chiefs are currently allowing 31.3 points per game and are coming off a game where the Eagles were able to move the ball for the most part with a far inferior offense to the Bills. The hotter team right now is Buffalo winning their last three games by a total of 118-21. The Bills enter this game as an underdog, and the total has hit the over in each of Buffalo’s last five games as the dog.
Copyright: USA Today
New York Giants/Dallas Cowboys Over 52.5:
These two classic rivals meet once again as Dallas looks to put a stranglehold on the NFC East. Though Amari Cooper is banged up, the Cowboys are expecting to get slot receiver Michael Gallup back to an offense that is averaging 31.5 points per game. On the ground, for all of Zeke’s criticism, the duo of he and Tony Pollard lead the league in rushing yards per game at 165.8 while the Giants defense is ranked 24th against the run, allowing 4.5 yards per carry. The Giants offense led by Daniel Jones and Saquan Barkley have begun to find their footing of late, opening up running lanes that have allowed Jones to push the ball and use his legs more often. The Giants offense is averaging 20.8 points per game but on the road this season is scoring 28 per contest. The total has been topped in four of the last five head to head matchups while also being topped in nine of the last twelve played in Dallas. The over for Dallas has hit in 20 of their last 26 home games against a team with a losing record.
Copyright: AP Images
New Orleans Saints -2 vs. Washington Football Team:
My Betting the Diagonal co-host may not like this game but I love it. Washington escaped Week 4 with a win but was given gifts by all of the football Gods in the form of 21 points from big plays late in the game, and a little thing we have come to love to see...an Atlanta collapse.
The Saints have the feel of the better team in this one and with another Washington player (Logan Thomas) hitting the IR, this team is starting to see its injuries mount up. Washington’s defense has not nearly been as good as advertised and goes up against an offensive line that even without Center Eric McCoy, is extremely strong and should have All-Pro Left Tackle Terron Armstead out to slow down Chase Young and company. In the career of New Orleans coach Sean Payton’s, he is 48-26 ATS coming off a loss which includes 25-10 on the road outside of the friendly confines that are the SuperDome. Additionally in the Saints, they are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite.
Indianapolis Colts/ Baltimore Ravens Under 46 points:
These two teams are just missing something. Both teams Quarterbacks right now can not be trusted to successfully push the ball down the field, as Carson Wentz has become more of a dink and dunk style passer after years of injuries while Lamar Jackson is still a Running Back posing as a Quarterback whose passes are more erratic than my picks this season. While the Colts seemed to find themselves last week, they took advantage of a bad Miami team. After that game, they are still averaging 20.8 points per game while the Ravens are averaging 26.2 points per game. For all their struggles, these two defenses who are tied for 20th in the league giving up 5.8 yards per play still boast a ton of talent that can disrupt the opposing offenses routinely with solid coverage and pressure from their pass rushers. The Under has hit in 12 of the last 13 meetings between these teams and has hit the under in eight straight matchups head to head.
Philadelphia Eagles/Carolina Panthers Under 45.5 points:
Times are tough right now in my City of Brotherly Love. Our teams are not showing us too much love and it pains me to say it, but they keep breaking my heart, and breaking down physically. Each of these teams have significant injury concerns as the Eagles are possibly without four offensive line starters for the second week in a row and the Panthers are possibly without star running back Christian McCaffrey once again. The Panthers are one of the strongest defenses in the league and are coming off a tough performance against the Cowboys. They look to right the ship with newly acquired Stephon Gilmore against an inconsistent Eagles offense that can not run the ball outside of Jalen Hurts.The defensive lines are the strengths of both of these teams and should be able to work to control the line of scrimmage, slowing down the offenses. Speaking of slow, the Panthers are the fifth slowest team in pace of play and lead the league in time of possession at 34:48 per game. For the Eagles, the under is 7-3 in their last ten games overall and is 8-3 in the last 11 games on grass.For the Panthers, the under is 6-1 in the last seven games overall and is 5-1 in their last six games as the favorite.
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